Week 6 Stock Watch

Week 6 Stock Watch
by Robby Jeffries

Week 5 is in the books, and what a week it was! DeShaun Watson put on his big boys pants and tossed five TDs, Leonard Fournette trucked his way to 181 rushing yards, and Panthers TE Ed Dickson– just as we all suspected– had five grabs for 175 receiving yards (and two touchdowns if he had ANY speed.) Sunday wasn’t without its ever-growing list of injuries however, as both Odell Beckham Jr. and Brandon Marshall were lost for the season. DeVante Parker, Bilal Powell, Matt Stafford, and Travis Kelce are among the questionables going forward. If you need to know who to stock up on and who to part ways with, you’ve come to the right place.

First, a quick recap on the stocks from last week and how they fared.

 

Week 5 Stock Hits: Stocks we cashed in on.

Duke Johnson Jr. – Late in the game TD but I’ll take it. Duke > Crowell.
Alvin Kamara – Bye week but breaking news today (Tuesday) of AP leaving town.
Devin Funchess – Now has 27 targets in past three games.
Chris Hogan – 3rd WR in scoring the past four weeks.

Week 5 Stock Sold: Stocks we sold at the right time.

Raider’s Offense – Crabtree was decent. Lynch got saved by a TD. Rest of them were dreadful.
Trevor Seimian – Bye week in Week 5. Still standing by this.
Terrance West – Injury took him out early and is still is in the short end of three-way timeshare.
Seattle Run Game – Nobody had over 20 yards and now CJ Prosise gets added back into the mix.

Week 5 Stocks Missed: Stocks I missed on.

Jaron Brown – Not an awful game but definitely looked behind John Brown in the pecking order.
Kyle Rudolph – This was still a miss as he found the end zone and did one of the coolest celebrations this season.

On to Week 6’s Stock Watch…

Stock Up: Players who have good outlooks this week and whose value will rise.

DeShaun Watson – Okay, okay this is an easy one. The dude is on fire though AND he has the Browns coming up. Cleveland have given up 11 passing TDs already this year and there’s little doubt in my mind they don’t give up at least two to the #1 ranked fantasy QB since his first start. We can make this a two-for-one and say I like Lamar Miller in this matchup as well. Especially if Jamie Collins misses yet another game for the Browns. His stock is high but it will have another good week.

Alvin Kamara – Last week I said the Adrian Peterson Project crashed down to earth like Dorthy’s house in the Wizard of Oz after Week 4. Well Toto, AP isn’t in New Orleans anymore! Coach Sean Payton banished the Wicked Witch traded AP to the last ranked rushing offense: the Arizona Cardinals. Payton now gets to spend more quality time with his favorite running back in Who Dat Nation: Alvin Kamara. While the trade helps Mark Ingram more than Kamara, I believe that Kamara will continue to see quality snaps regardless of game script. Look for him to be involved against a Lions defense that has allowed at least 5 catches to RBs in four of the first five NFL weeks.

Joe Mixon – It’s honestly not pretty but it’s improving. With a bye week during Week 6, there is no better time to buy the Joe Mixon Stock while it’s still cheap. Mixon had his most offensive snaps (36) as a Bengal and is the clear-cut starter above Jeremy Hill and Giovanni Bernard. Next up for Mixon is the 30th ranked defense against the run. The Steelers are averaging 22.4 points to running backs this season.

Terrelle Pryor – Like Mixon, Terrelle Pryor’s 2017 hasn’t been pretty but it’s improving. Pryor is a guy I’m grabbing for cheap in a ton of leagues. The Redskins are coming out of their early Week 5 bye and it’s hard to see them not being able to torch a 49er’s passing defense that has let 4 receivers post 100+ yard games on them in the past three weeks (includes 177 by TY Hilton last week). After that, they get the Eagles and Cowboys who rank 30th and 26th in passing defense, respectively. Buy while his value is cheap.

Lions Starting WR’s – A ton of points are going to put up in this game with the game point line at 50. While I understand the Saints are coming off the bye and have a bend but don’t break defense this year, this Lions team is legit and could just as easily be 5-0 instead of 3-2 if a few plays and one crucial call goes their way. The Saints don’t defend the number #1 WR ranking 28th in the NFL according to footballoutsiders.com. I’m stocking up on Golden Tate and Marvin Jones as I expect both to have good games in this one.

 

Penny Stocks: Here is one player for deep leagues whose stock is rising. Buy before they’re gone!

Jalen Richard – I’ve been one of the biggest Marshawn Lynch fantasy hater since he signed this past offseason. I thought and still think there’s little chance he makes it through all 16 games. Already in Week 5 he is looking like the second best running back on the Raiders squad. Jalen Richard is averaging 5.3 ypc this year and has slowly been mixing in more. Start a trend, buy some Jalen.

 

Stock Down:

Alex Smith – And your fantasy leader through five weeks is…you guessed it, Alex Smith! Who would have thought huh? The two golden rules in stock trading are buy low and sell high and I don’t think Alex Smith’s value has ever been higher. With TE Travis Kelce in the concussion protocol, Smith could be without his #1 target Sunday against the Steelers. Let’s be honest, Smith has been slinging this year but I want no part of him without Kelce. Oh, and the Steelers are great against the pass giving up the least amount of yards and a mere three TDs.

Frank Gore – We all knew the time would come. We’ve been saying it for years. It’s actually kind of sad. Coach Chuck Pagano has said that Marlon Mack has “earned a bigger role” and has looked good in limited carries for an Andrew Luck-less Colts team. Now I don’t think Gore is useless the rest of the season, but I do think he loses value and playing time as the season goes on. I’m not high on him on Monday night vs. the Titans even if Luck comes back.

Adrian Peterson – The newest member of the Arizona Cardinals has been getting some love as the new between the tackles runner for the worst rushing attack through the first five weeks. He won’t have to split carries with Mark Ingram they say. He will have a better blocking scheme they say. Hogwash! Peterson is an older 32 years old with 300 more carries on his resume. He joins a pitiful run blocking squad and did I mention he faces Tampa Bay in his first week back? Fun fact: Linebackers Lavonte David and Kwon Alexander rejoined Bucs practice this week. Sell AP while there are still some that think he is worth something.

Carlos Hyde – You never like being the incumbent star running back and hearing that your head coach will “roll with the hot hand going forward”. Such is the life of one Carlos Hyde. The 49ers are coming off back to back overtime games in which most of the 10 minutes ticked off both games before an eventual 49er’s loss was proclaimed. The Redskins are coming off a bye and are just the better team. With Matt Breida getting more snaps than Hyde last week, I want none of Hyde this week or going forward as this has become a split backfield on a team that isn’t leading in many games.

DeVante Parker – Oh how the pre-season Cutler to Parker love has quieted. QB Jay Cutler has looked like, well, Jay Cutler. A garbage time TD vs. the Jets has helped Parker from an otherwise pedestrian start to his 2017 season. Add in an ankle injury that has him questionable for a Week 6 matchup against the 6th rank passing defense in the Atlanta Falcons, and you have good reason to steer clear of Parker for the time being.

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